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Post-Brexit Options for the UK: Combining Legal and Economic Analysis

The UK government faces a major challenge in formulating a clear plan for Brexit.  Its current position is that departing the EU necessarily entails leaving the European Economic Area and customs union.  The Prime Minster has said that ‘no deal’ is better than a ‘bad deal’. Thus it is possible that at the end of March 2019, the UK will fall back on ‘WTO rules’.  While the government may have worked out the legal and institutional implications of this scenario, it has not shared this information with the public.  By its own admission, the government has not undertaken any economic analysis of the possible effects of Brexit, beyond the work carried out by the Treasury before the referendum of June 2016.  In these circumstances, there is an urgent need for informed public debate on the consequences of Brexit.  

At this workshop, organised jointly by the Cambridge Public Policy Strategic Research Initiative and Centre for Business Research (CBR), the state of the art on legal issues which include the WTO option, migration, citizen’s rights, the UK’s ‘exit bill’, free movement, and social policy, will be discussed, along with analysis of the constitutional and geopolitical context of Brexit.  There will also be a presentation of the latest results from the CBR’s economic forecasting model, UKMOD, which has earned a reputation for accuracy and even-handedness in its analysis of the effects of Brexit.  

Supported by the University of Cambridge Impact Acceleration Account.

Thursday 30 March 2017

09:00-09:15 Registration and coffee
09:15-11:15 Session one: The Political Context

The Geopolitics of Brexit, or Britain’s Bill to Europe
Professor Brendan Simms, Department of Politics and International Studies, University of Cambridge

Brexit and Devolution
Professor John Bell, Faculty of Law, University of Cambridge and Dr Julian Ghosh QC, Bye-fellow at Peterhouse, University of Cambridge
Download the presentation

The UK Constitution and the Great Repeal Act
Professor David Howarth, Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge
11:15-11:30 Session two: Trade and Economic Law

The ‘WTO Option’
Dr Lorand Bartels, Faculty of Law, University of Cambridge
Access the full paper (September 2016)

The UK’s ‘Exit Bill’
Dr Michael Waibel, Faculty of Law, University of Cambridge
Download the presentation slides
13:00-13:45 Lunch
13:45-15:15 Session three: Economic and Social Policy

The UKMOD Economic Forecast of the Effects of Brexit
Dr Graham Gudgin, Centre for Business Research, Cambridge Judge Business School
Download the presentation slides

A Libertarian Britain Prepares to Leave an Ordoliberal EU
Professor Simon Deakin, Centre for Business Research, Cambridge Judge Business School
Download the presentation slides
15:15-15:30 Tea and coffee
15:30-17:30 Session four: Migration and Citizenship

The Right to Remain of EU Nationals
Dr Kirsty Hughes, Faculty of Law, University of Cambridge

Free Movement of Persons
Martin Steinfeld, Faculty of Law, University of Cambridge

Migration and Employment Rights
Professor Catherine Barnard, Faculty of Law, University of Cambridge